UC Davis set for first Big Sky season

NCAA Football Betting Lines

01/28/2012 - Davis, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - UC Davis football is set to enter a new era in 2012 with eight Big Sky Conference games as well as a visit to San Jose State as part of an 11-game schedule.

The Aggies are joining the Big Sky from the Great West Football Conference, which disbanded after the 2011 season.

Bob Biggs, who will retire following this 20th season as UC Davis' head coach, will watch his team kick off the campaign with three non-conference games. The Aggies will host Azusa Pacific in their opener on Sept. 1.

That will be followed by a trip to FBS member San Jose State on Sept. 8. The Aggies pulled a 14-13 upset at San Jose State in 2010.

UC Davis' final non-conference game will be at South Dakota State on Sept. 15.

The rest of the Aggies' season will be Big Sky games, starting at Cal Poly, their rival from the Great West which also is joining the Big Sky, on Sept. 22.

UC Davis' conference home games will be against Weber State (Sept. 29), Montana State (Oct. 6) on Homecoming, Portland State (Oct. 27) and Sacramento State (Nov. 17) in the 59th annual Causeway Classic. The Aggies hold a 41-18 advantage in that all-time series.

The Aggies also will travel to Big Sky foes Idaho State (Oct. 13), Northern Arizona (Oct. 20) and Eastern Washington (Nov. 10).

"Each week it will be fun for our fans to not only follow the results of our games, but also the results for the rest of the Big Sky Conference as each will have meaning in conference standings and playoff implications," Biggs said. "We have missed being in a strong conference affiliation with recognized opponents for decades and this opportunity will just add to the excitement of Aggie football."

2012 UC Davis Football Schedule

Sept. 1, Azusa Pacific

Sept. 8, at San Jose State

Sept. 15, at South Dakota State

Sept. 22, at Cal Poly*

Sept. 29, Weber State*

Oct. 6, Montana State* (Homecoming)

Oct. 13, at Idaho State*

Oct. 20, at Northern Arizona*

Oct. 27, Portland State*

Nov. 10, at Eastern Washington*

Nov. 17, Sacramento State*

* - Big Sky Conference game

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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